The 2024 United States Senate election in Tennessee will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Tennessee. Incumbent one-term Republican Senator Marsha Blackburn has filed to run for a second term and is actively campaigning. There has also been speculation that she could be a vice presidential pick for Donald Trump's 2024 presidential campaign.[1] Primary elections will take place on August 1, 2024.
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At the federal and state levels, Tennessee is considered to be a strongly red state, having gone to Donald Trump by 23 points in the 2020 Presidential Election. In Tennessee, Republicans occupy both Senate seats, 8 out of 9 U.S. House seats, supermajorities in both state legislative chambers, and the governor's office.
Due to Tennessee's strong conservative bent, this race is currently considered a "Safe" Republican hold.
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Marsha Blackburn (R) | $10,565,541 | $3,758,126 | $7,421,514 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[7] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Marsha Blackburn (incumbent) | |||
Republican | Tres Wittum | |||
Total votes |
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Marquita Bradshaw (D) | $11,687 | $9,285 | $2,402 |
Gloria Johnson (D) | $2,339,251 | $915,942 | $1,423,308 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[7] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Marquita Bradshaw |
Gloria Johnson |
Civil Miller-Watkins |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Targoz Market Research[A] | March 15–April 2, 2024 | 282 (LV) | ± 2.77% | 7% | 38% | 2% | 1% | 52% |
Targoz Market Research[A] | December 14–28, 2023 | 251 (LV) | ± 2.66% | 11% | 41% | 2% | 1% | 45% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Marquita Bradshaw | |||
Democratic | Lola Brown | |||
Democratic | Gloria Johnson | |||
Democratic | Kevin McCants | |||
Democratic | Civil Miller-Watkins | |||
Total votes |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[15] | Solid R | November 9, 2023 |
Inside Elections[16] | Solid R | November 9, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Safe R | November 9, 2023 |
Elections Daily[18] | Safe R | May 4, 2023 |
CNalysis[19] | Safe R | November 21, 2023 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Marsha Blackburn (R) |
Marquita Bradshaw (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Targoz Market Research[A] | March 15–April 2, 2024 | 947 (LV) | ± 2.77% | 46% | 22% | 32% |
Targoz Market Research[A] | October 5–16, 2023 | 824 (LV) | ± 2.79% | 48% | 36% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Marsha Blackburn (R) |
Gloria Johnson (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Targoz Market Research[A] | March 15–April 2, 2024 | 955 (LV) | ± 2.77% | 45% | 29% | 26% |
Targoz Market Research[A] | October 5–16, 2023 | 850 (LV) | ± 2.79% | 49% | 29% | 23% |