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2022 United States Senate election in Alabama

Summary

The 2022 United States Senate election in Alabama was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alabama. Incumbent senator Richard Shelby was first elected in 1986 and re-elected in 1992 as a Democrat before becoming a Republican in 1994.[1] In his most recent election in 2016, he was re-elected with nearly 64% of the vote over Democrat Ron Crumpton.[2] In February 2021, Shelby announced that he would not seek re-election to a seventh term,[3] which resulted in the first open Senate seat since 1996 and the first in this seat since 1968.[a]

2022 United States Senate election in Alabama
← 2016 November 8, 2022 2028 →
Turnout38.5% Decrease
 
Nominee Katie Britt Will Boyd
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 942,154 436,746
Percentage 66.62% 30.88%
Britt:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Boyd:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
U.S. senator before election

Richard Shelby
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

Katie Britt
Republican

Primary elections in Alabama were held on May 24, with Will Boyd securing the Democratic nomination. However, as none of the Republican candidates received at least 50% of the vote, a runoff election occurred on June 21 between the top two candidates of the first round: attorney Katie Britt and U.S. representative Mo Brooks. Britt won the runoff against Brooks and subsequently became the Republican nominee.[4]

Britt's victory in the Republican Party primary was seen as tantamount to election in Alabama, which is a heavily Republican state.[5][6][7] Britt won the general election and became the first woman elected to the U.S. Senate in the state's history.[b][c] She is also the first non-incumbent Republican Senator from Alabama to have been elected to this seat since 1980.

Republican primary edit

Early polling showed U.S. Representative Mo Brooks as the frontrunner in the race, and he received the endorsement of former president Donald Trump.[8] However, in November, the race started becoming increasingly closer with former chief of staff to incumbent senator Richard Shelby, Katie Britt, running neck and neck with Brooks. In March 2022, businessman and former pilot Michael Durant took the lead in the race, with Brooks only just beginning to spend money on television advertisements. On March 23, 2022, with Brooks polling in third place, Trump revoked his endorsement and promised to endorse a new candidate.[9] In his official statement, Trump slammed Brooks for wanting to move past the 2020 United States presidential election, and claimed he went "woke" on it. There was speculation that Trump withdrew his endorsement because he did not want to be associated with a losing campaign. Brooks claimed that Trump had told him to reinstate him as President and that Trump had been manipulated by Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell. Brooks attacked Britt as allegedly being weak on illegal immigration and supporting higher taxes, while Brooks' critics frequently point to his long career in politics, having been in office for 40 years.[10][11] In May, a planned debate between the three candidates was canceled after Durant declined to attend.[12] A runoff election took place on June 21 as none of the candidates managed 50% of the vote needed to win the nomination outright, with Britt becoming the Republican nominee.

Candidates edit

 
U.S. Representative Mo Brooks lost the runoff

Nominee edit

  • Katie Britt, former president and CEO of the Business Council of Alabama and former chief of staff to outgoing senator Richard Shelby
 
Businessman Michael Durant finished third in the initial primary

Eliminated in runoff edit

Eliminated in initial primary edit

Withdrawn edit

Declined edit

Endorsements edit

Katie Britt
U.S. Presidents
Executive branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State senators
State representatives
Mayors
Individuals
Organizations
PACs
  • Alabama Conservatives Fund[61]
  • Alabama RetailPAC[62]
  • Business-Industry PAC[63]
  • VIEW PAC[64]
  • Winning For Women PAC[65]
Mo Brooks (eliminated)
U.S. Presidents
Executive branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Party officials
Judges
Individuals
Organizations
PACs
Mike Durant (eliminated)
Executive branch officials
Individuals
PACs
  • Combat Veterans for Congress PAC[103]
  • More Perfect Union[104]
  • SEAL PAC[99]
Jessica Taylor (withdrawn)
Individuals

Debates and forums edit

2022 Alabama Republican U.S. Senate primary debates and forums
No. Date Host Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn O  Not yet entered race
Blanchard Britt Brooks Dunn Durant Taylor
1[106] Sep 15, 2021 Coffee County Republican Women WTVY P P P A O A
2[107] Sep 28, 2021 Alabama Public Employees' Advocacy League WHNT P P A P P
3[108] Feb 19, 2022 Alabama Republican Party N/A W P P W P W
4[109] Feb 28, 2022 Butler County Republican Party N/A P P A
5[110] Mar 22, 2022 Tallapoosa County Republican Party N/A P P A
6[111] Mar 24, 2022 Houston County Republican Party N/A P P A
7[112] Apr 25, 2022 Calhoun County Chamber of Commerce N/A A P A

First round edit

Polling edit

Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Katie
Britt 		Mo
Brooks 		Mike
Durant 		Other
[d] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics May 15–21, 2022 May 24, 2022 34.7% 28.7% 25.3% 11.3% Britt +6.0
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[e] 		Margin
of error 		Lynda
Blanchard 		Katie
Britt 		Mo
Brooks 		Mike
Durant 		Jessica
Taylor 		Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) May 18–21, 2022 1,060 (LV) ± 2.9% – 36% 28% 23% – 4%[f] 9%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[A] May 16–19, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% – 37% 25% 24% – – 13%
Cygnal (R) May 15–16, 2022 634 (LV) ± 3.9% – 31% 29% 24% – 6% 10%
Emerson College May 15–16, 2022 706 (LV) ± 3.6% – 32% 25% 26% – 3%[g] 14%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[A] May 9–12, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% – 37% 21% 31% – – 12%
Cygnal (R) May 6–7, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% – 32% 23% 21% – 9% 16%
Moore Information Group (R) May 2–5, 2022 400 (LV) ± 5.0% – 27% 20% 20% – 9%[h] 24%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[A] May 2–5, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% – 39% 22% 27% – – 12%
Emerson College March 25–27, 2022 687 (LV) ± 3.7% – 23% 12% 33% – 7%[i] 26%
Cygnal (R) March 16–17, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% – 28% 16% 35% – 7%[j] 14%
Wisemen Consulting (R) March 15–17, 2022 – (LV) ± 3.4% – 27% 23% 29% – 4%[k] 17%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[A] March 10–13, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% – 32% 18% 34% – – 17%
Cherry Communications (R)[B] February 2–6, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% – 29% 34% 24% – – 13%
Deep Root Analytics (R) Archived February 7, 2022, at the Wayback Machine[C] January 29–31, 2022 2,088 (LV) ± 2.1% – 29% 28% 23% – – 20%
WPA Intelligence (R) Archived February 7, 2022, at the Wayback Machine[D] January 25–27, 2022 513 (LV) ± 4.4% – 25% 35% 30% – – 10%
January 4, 2022 Taylor withdraws from the race
McLaughlin & Associates (R) December 6–9, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.5% – 26% 31% 17% 4% – 22%
December 2, 2021 Blanchard withdraws from the race
TargetPoint Consulting (R)[C] November 3–8, 2021 300 (LV) ± 5.7% – 31% 30% 12% 7% – 20%
Cygnal (R)[E] November 3–4, 2021 650 (LV) ± 3.8% 1% 24% 22% 9% 1% 4% 39%
The Strategy Group (R)[F] November 1–4, 2021 784 (LV) ± 3.8% 3% 23% 28% 7% 1% – 31%
Cygnal (R)[E] October 21–22, 2021 – (LV) – – 14% 26% – – – –
WPA Intelligence (R)[D] October 12–14, 2021 506 (LV) ± 4.4% 5% 12% 55% – 5% – 23%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) August 24 – September 2, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.6% 3% 11% 41% – 7% – 39%
Cygnal (R) August 17–18, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 2% 18% 41% – 3% 5% 32%
WPA Intelligence (R)[D] April 26–27, 2021 509 (LV) ± 4.4% 13% 9% 59% – – – 19%

Results edit

 
Initial primary results by county
  Britt
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Brooks
  •   30–40%
Republican primary results[113]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Katie Britt 289,425 44.75%
Republican Mo Brooks 188,539 29.15%
Republican Michael Durant 150,817 23.32%
Republican Jake Schafer 7,371 1.14%
Republican Karla DuPriest 5,739 0.89%
Republican Lillie Boddie 4,849 0.75%
Total votes 646,740 100.0%

Runoff edit

Polling edit

Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[e] 		Margin
of error 		Katie
Britt 		Mo
Brooks 		Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[A] June 13–16, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 58% 33% 9%
Auburn University at Montgomery June 8–15, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 50% 30% 20%
Emerson College June 12–13, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 34% 17%
JMC Analytics (R) June 6–9, 2022 630 (LV) ± 3.9% 51% 39% 10%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[A] June 6–9, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 55% 36% 9%
Cygnal (R) March 16–17, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 28% 21%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) December 6–9, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 39% 37% 25%
Cygnal (R)[E] November 3–4, 2021 650 (LV) ± 3.8% 35% 29% 36%
Cygnal (R)[E] October 21–22, 2021 – (LV) – 26% 34% 40%
Hypothetical polling
Katie Britt vs. Mike Durant
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[e] 		Margin
of error 		Katie
Britt 		Mike
Durant 		Undecided
Cygnal (R) March 16–17, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 35% 47% 19%
Mo Brooks vs. Mike Durant
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[e] 		Margin
of error 		Mo
Brooks 		Mike
Durant 		Undecided
Cygnal (R) March 16–17, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 23% 57% 20%

Results edit

 
Runoff results by county
  Britt
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
      70–80%
      80–90%
  Brooks
  •   50–60%
Republican primary runoff results[113]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Katie Britt 253,251 63.02%
Republican Mo Brooks 148,636 36.98%
Total votes 401,887 100.0%

Democratic primary edit

Candidates edit

Nominee edit

Eliminated in primary edit

Removed from ballot edit

  • Victor Keith Williams, activist, former law instructor and Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Virginia in 2020[118][119]

Declined edit

Debates and forums edit

2022 Alabama Democratic U.S. Senate primary debates and forums
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Boyd Dean Jackson
1[122] Apr 07, 2022 DeKalb County Democratic Party N/A N/A P P A
2[112] Apr 25, 2022 Calhoun County Chamber of Commerce N/A N/A P A P

Endorsements edit

Will Boyd
Organizations

Polling edit

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[e] 		Margin
of error 		Will
Boyd 		Brandaun
Dean 		Lanny
Jackson 		Victor
Williams 		Undecided
Emerson College May 15–16, 2022 294 (LV) ± 5.7% 26% 15% 11% – 49%
Emerson College March 25–27, 2022 359 (LV) ± 5.1% 11% 5% 7% 11% 67%

Results edit

 
Results by county
  Boyd
  •   40-50%
  •   50-60%
  •   60-70%
  •   70-80%
Democratic primary results[113]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Will Boyd 107,588 63.72%
Democratic Brandaun Dean 32,863 19.46%
Democratic Lanny Jackson 28,402 16.82%
Total votes 168,853 100.0%

Libertarian nomination edit

No primary was held for the Libertarian Party, and candidates were instead nominated by the party.[125]

Candidates edit

Nominee edit

Independents edit

Candidates edit

Declared edit

General election edit

Predictions edit

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[129] Solid R March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[130] Solid R April 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[131] Safe R March 1, 2022
Politico[132] Solid R April 1, 2022
RCP[133] Safe R June 21, 2022
Fox News[134] Solid R May 12, 2022
DDHQ[135] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[136] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[137] Solid R September 7, 2022

Endorsements edit

Katie Britt (R)
U.S. Presidents
Executive branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
State senators
State representatives
Mayors
Individuals
Organizations
Will Boyd (D)
Labor unions
Organizations

Polling edit

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[e] 		Margin
of error 		Katie
Britt (R) 		Will
Boyd (D) 		John
Sophocleus (L) 		Undecided
Cygnal (R) October 27–29, 2022 616 (LV) ± 3.94% 57% 28% 6% -

Results edit

2022 United States Senate election in Alabama[152]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Katie Britt 942,154 66.62% +2.66%
Democratic Will Boyd 436,746 30.88% -4.99%
Libertarian John Sophocleus 32,879 2.32% N/A
Write-in 2,459 0.17% ±0.0%
Total votes 1,414,238 100.0%
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican edit

By congressional district edit

Britt won 6 of 7 congressional districts.[153]

District Britt Boyd Representative
1st 69% 29% Jerry Carl
2nd 70% 28% Barry Moore
3rd 71% 26% Mike Rogers
4th 84% 14% Robert Aderholt
5th 67% 30% Mo Brooks (117th Congress)
Dale Strong (118th Congress)
6th 67% 29% Gary Palmer
7th 37% 61% Terri Sewell

See also edit

Notes edit

  1. ^ Maryon Pittman Allen ran for this Class III seat in the special election in 1978 to finish her late husband's term, but lost in the Democratic primary to Donald Stewart, who won the election. Stewart ran for re-election to a full term in 1980, but lost in the Democratic primary to Jim Folsom.
  2. ^ Alabama had never elected a female Senator in the state's history. Two previous female Senators, Dixie Graves and Maryon Pittman Allen, were appointed to the Senate, but were never nominated in a Senate election.
  3. ^ Luther Strange was appointed to the Senate in 2017, but lost in the Republican primary to Roy Moore in the special election in 2017.
  4. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  5. ^ a b c d e f Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  6. ^ Boddie with 2%; DuPriest and Schafer with 1%
  7. ^ Boddie with 2%; DuPriest with 1%; Schafer with 0%
  8. ^ "None" with 4%; Schafer and DuPriest with 2%; Boddie with 1%
  9. ^ DuPriest with 4%; Boddie and Schafer with 1%
  10. ^ Boddie with 7%; DuPriest and Schafer with 0%
  11. ^ DuPriest with 3%, Schafer with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by ForestPAC, a wing of the Alabama Forestry Association, which supports Britt
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by FarmPAC, a wing of the Alabama Farmers Federation, which supports Britt
  3. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Britt's campaign
  4. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Club for Growth Action which endorsed Brooks prior to the sampling period
  5. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Alabama Conservatives Fund, which supports Britt
  6. ^ Poll sponsored by the Alabama House Republican Caucus

References edit

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  3. ^ a b Hulse, Carl (February 8, 2021). "Shelby, Veteran Senator from Alabama, Won't Seek Seventh Term". The New York Times. Retrieved February 8, 2021.
  4. ^ Colvin, Jill; Chandler, Kim (June 21, 2022). "Britt wins tumultuous Alabama Senate race scrambled by Trump". Associated Press. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
  5. ^ Whites-Koditschek, Sarah (June 21, 2022). "Katie Britt wins runoff, stands to become first woman elected senator in Alabama". AL.com. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
  6. ^ Ulloa, Jazmine; Hounshell, Blake (June 21, 2022). "Katie Britt leveraged her Alabama connections and political savvy to trounce Mo Brooks". The New York Times. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
  7. ^ Bustillo, Ximena (June 21, 2022). "Trump-backed Britt defeats Brooks in Alabama Republican Senate runoff". National Public Radio. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
  8. ^ "Brooks, Trump adviser to make campaign announcement". March 22, 2021.
  9. ^ Gonyea, Don (March 23, 2022). "Trump yanks endorsement of Alabama Senate candidate Brooks, who said to get past 2020". NPR.
  10. ^ "Rep. Mo Brooks responds to Trump's latest comments". March 23, 2022.
  11. ^ "Mo Brooks lashes out at Katie Britt after losing Trump's U.S. Senate endorsement". March 24, 2022.
  12. ^ "Durant declines offer to debate Katie Britt, Mo Brooks". May 2, 2022.
  13. ^ Moseley, Brandon (January 29, 2022). "Candidate qualifying is over except for Congress". 1819 News. Archived from the original on January 29, 2022. Retrieved January 29, 2022.
  14. ^ Lyman, Brian (March 22, 2021). "Mo Brooks announces candidacy for U.S. Senate". Montgomery Advertiser. Retrieved May 26, 2022.
  15. ^ Seale, Michael (January 17, 2022). "Political Newcomer Making Waves: 5 Questions With Katie Britt". Yahoo News. Retrieved January 18, 2022.
  16. ^ "'Black Hawk Down' POW Mike Durant enters Alabama's 2022 U.S. Senate race". Yellowhammer News. October 19, 2021. Retrieved October 19, 2021.
  17. ^ Cox, Jim (January 5, 2022). "Governor, state legislators and county officials on '22 ballots". The Thomasville Times. Retrieved January 7, 2022.
  18. ^ Gunzburger, Ron. "Politics1 - Online Guide to Alabama Elections, Candidates & Politics". www.politics1.com. Archived from the original on February 9, 2022. Retrieved February 9, 2022.
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  29. ^ "Alabama Secretary of State John Merrill admits affair, won't run for U.S. Senate: 'There's no excuse'". al. April 7, 2021.
  30. ^ a b Jeff Poor (April 11, 2021). "Mo Brooks picks up Barry Moore endorsement at Coffee County pro-free speech event". YellowHammer.
  31. ^ Pappas, Alex (February 8, 2021). "Sessions not interested in another Alabama Senate run after Shelby retirement". Fox News. Retrieved February 8, 2021.
  32. ^ a b Koplowitz, Howard (June 10, 2022). "Donald Trump endorses 'fearless America First warrior' Katie Britt in Alabama Senate race". AL.com. Archived from the original on June 11, 2022. Retrieved June 11, 2022.
  33. ^ a b Smith, Dylan (June 1, 2022). "Sarah Huckabee Sanders endorses Katie Britt in U.S. Senate runoff election". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved June 1, 2022.
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  39. ^ a b Mychael Schnell (June 10, 2021). "Shelby backs ex-aide over Trump-favored candidate in Alabama Senate race". The Hill.
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  41. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq br bs bt bu bv bw bx by bz ca cb cc cd ce cf cg ch ci cj ck cl cm cn co cp cq cr cs ct cu cv cw cx cy cz da db dc dd de df dg dh Moseley, Brandon (May 6, 2022). "Majority of Republican state legislators have endorsed Katie Britt for Senate". 1819 News. Retrieved May 6, 2022.
  42. ^ a b Moseley, Brandon (May 4, 2022). "Mobile Mayor Sandy Stimpson endorses Katie Britt for Senate". 1819 News. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
  43. ^ a b Smith, Dylan (June 9, 2022). "Fmr Trump adviser Steve Cortes: 'Economic populist' Katie Britt is 'next generation of America First'". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved June 9, 2022.
  44. ^ a b Smith, Dylan (April 22, 2022). "Katie Britt campaign launches veterans coalition — 'I will always fight for the brave men and women in uniform'". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved April 22, 2022.
  45. ^ a b Flowers, Steve (February 22, 2022). "Alabama Senate contest turns into three-way race - Inside the Statehouse". Tuscaloosa News. Retrieved March 24, 2022.
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  47. ^ a b Smith, Dylan (June 15, 2022). "Alabama Associated General Contractors endorse Katie Britt for U.S. Senate, Dale Strong in AL-5 race". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved June 15, 2022.
  48. ^ Jeff Helms (September 28, 2021). "Alabama Farmers Federation Announces 2022 Endorsements". Alabama Farmers Federation.
  49. ^ a b "AFA endorses Katie Britt for U.S. Senate". Alabama Political Reporter. January 12, 2022. Retrieved January 12, 2022.
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  55. ^ a b Cann, Beth (August 3, 2021). "Home Builders Association endorses Katie Britt after unprecedented fundraising campaign". Alabama Today. Retrieved January 7, 2022.
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  63. ^ "Business-Industry Political Action Committee Releases First Round of 2022 Primary Endorsements". KULR-TV. May 5, 2022. Archived from the original on May 13, 2022. Retrieved May 6, 2022.
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External links edit

Official campaign websites
  • Adam Bowers (I) for Senate
  • Will Boyd (D) for Senate
  • Katie Britt (R) for Senate
  • John Sophocleus (L) for Senate Archived August 8, 2022, at the Wayback Machine

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