2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi

Summary

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the U.S. state of Mississippi; one from each of the state's four congressional districts. Primaries are scheduled for March 10, 2020.

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi

← 2018 November 3, 2020 (2020-11-03) 2022 →

All 4 Mississippi seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 3 1
Seats won 3 1
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 806,859 421,121
Percentage 65.71% 34.29%
Swing Increase 15.53% Decrease 8.18%

Overview edit

District Republican Democratic Total Result
Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 228,787 68.75% 104,008 31.25% 332,795 100.0% Republican hold
District 2 101,010 33.98% 196,224 66.02% 297,234 100.0% Democratic hold
District 3 221,064 64.67% 120,782 35.32% 341,846 100.0% Republican hold
District 4 255,971 100.00% 0 0.00% 255,971 100.0% Republican hold
Total 806,859 65.71% 421,121 34.29% 1,227,846 100.0%
Popular vote
Republican
65.71%
Democratic
34.29%
House seats
Republican
75.00%
Democratic
25.00%

District 1 edit

2020 Mississippi's 1st congressional district election
 
← 2018
2022 →
     
Nominee Trent Kelly Antonia Eliason
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 228,787 104,008
Percentage 68.7% 31.3%

 
County results
Kelly:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Eliason:      50–60%

 
Precinct results
Kelly:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Eliason:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Trent Kelly
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Trent Kelly
Republican

The 1st district takes in the northeastern area of the state, including Columbus, Oxford, Southaven, and Tupelo. The incumbent is Republican Trent Kelly, who was re-elected with 66.9% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary edit

Candidates edit

Declared edit

Primary results edit

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Trent Kelly (incumbent) 56,501 100.0%
Total votes 56,501 100.0%

Democratic primary edit

Candidates edit

Declared edit

Primary results edit

Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Antonia Eliason 37,830 100.0%
Total votes 37,830 100.0%

General election edit

Predictions edit

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[6] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[8] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[9] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[10] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[11] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results edit

Mississippi's 1st congressional district, 2020[12]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Trent Kelly (incumbent) 228,787 68.7
Democratic Antonia Eliason 104,008 31.3
Total votes 332,795 100.0
Republican hold

District 2 edit

2020 Mississippi's 2nd congressional district election
 
← 2018
2022 →
     
Nominee Bennie Thompson Brian Flowers
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 196,224 101,010
Percentage 66.0% 34.0%

 
Results by county

Flowers:      50-60%      60-70%

Thompson:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%

 
Precinct results
Flowers:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Thompson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Bennie Thompson
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Bennie Thompson
Democratic

The 2nd district encompasses the Mississippi Delta, taking in most of Jackson, the riverfront cities of Greenville and Vicksburg, and the interior market cities of Clarksdale, Greenwood and Clinton. The incumbent is Democrat Bennie Thompson, who was re-elected with 71.8% of the vote in 2018 without major-party opposition.[1]

Democratic primary edit

Candidates edit

Declared edit

Primary results edit

 
2020 Mississippi's 2nd congressional district Democratic primary results by county
Thompson
  •   Thompson—≥90%
  •   Thompson—80–90%
Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bennie Thompson (incumbent) 97,921 94.0
Democratic Sonia Rathburn 6,256 6.0
Total votes 104,177 100.0%

Republican primary edit

Candidates edit

Declared edit
  • Thomas Carey, realtor[13]
  • Brian Flowers, nuclear worker, Navy veteran[13]
  • B.C. Hammond, volunteer firefighter, farmer and a small business owner[13]

Primary results edit

 
2020 Mississippi's 2nd congressional district Republican primary initial round results by county
Flowers
  •   Flowers—60–70%
  •   Flowers—50–60%
  •   Flowers—40–50%
  •   Flowers—30–40%
Carey
  •   Carey—30–40%
  •   Carey—40–50%
  •   Carey—50–60%
Hammond
  •   Hammond—40–50%
  •   Hammond—50–60%
  •   Hammond—60–70%
Republican primary results [3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian Flowers 9,883 37.9
Republican Thomas Carey 9,456 36.1
Republican B.C. Hammond 6,812 26.0
Total votes 26,151 100.0%

Runoff results edit

Republican primary runoff results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian Flowers 3,747 70.0%
Republican Thomas Carey 1,607 30.0%
Total votes 5,354 100.0%

General election edit

Predictions edit

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[6] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[8] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[9] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[10] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[11] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results edit

Mississippi's 2nd congressional district, 2020[12]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bennie Thompson (incumbent) 196,224 66.0
Republican Brian Flowers 101,010 34.0
Total votes 297,234 100.0
Democratic hold

District 3 edit

2020 Mississippi's 3rd congressional district election
 
← 2018
2022 →
     
Nominee Michael Guest Dorothy Benford
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 221,064 120,782
Percentage 64.7% 35.3%

 
Precinct results
Guest:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Benford:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Michael Guest
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Michael Guest
Republican

The 3rd district is located in eastern and southwestern Mississippi, taking in Meridian, Starkville, Pearl, Natchez, and most of the wealthier portions of Jackson, including the portion of the city located in Rankin County. The incumbent is Republican Michael Guest, who was elected with 62.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary edit

Candidates edit

Declared edit

Primary results edit

 
2020 Mississippi's 3rd congressional district Republican primary results by county
Guest
  •   Guest—≥90%
  •   Guest—80–90%
  •   Guest—70–80%
Republican primary results [3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Michael Guest (incumbent) 67,269 89.8
Republican James Tulp 7,618 10.2
Total votes 74,887 100.0%

Democratic primary edit

Candidates edit

Declared edit
  • Dorothy "Dot" Benford, activist
  • Katelyn Lee, veterinary medical technologist[13]

Primary results edit

 
2020 Mississippi's 3rd congressional district Democratic primary results by county
Benford
  •   Benford—70–80%
  •   Benford—60–70%
  •   Benford—50–60%
Democratic primary results [4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dorothy "Dot" Benford 38,967 64.0
Democratic Katelyn Lee 21,951 36.0
Total votes 60,918 100.0%

General election edit

Predictions edit

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[6] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[8] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[9] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[10] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[11] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results edit

Mississippi's 3rd congressional district, 2020[12]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Michael Guest (incumbent) 221,064 64.7
Democratic Dorothy "Dot" Benford 120,782 35.3
Total votes 341,846 100.0
Republican hold

District 4 edit

2020 Mississippi's 4th congressional district election
 
← 2018
2022 →
   
Nominee Steven Palazzo
Party Republican
Popular vote 255,971
Percentage 100.0%

 
Precinct results
Palazzo:      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Steven Palazzo
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Steven Palazzo
Republican

The 4th district encompasses the Mississippi Gulf Coast, including Gulfport, Biloxi, Hattiesburg, Bay St. Louis, Laurel, and Pascagoula. The incumbent is Republican Steven Palazzo, who was elected with 68.2% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary edit

Candidates edit

Declared edit

Primary results edit

 
2020 Mississippi's 4th congressional district Republican primary results by county
Palazzo
  •   Palazzo—80–90%
  •   Palazzo—70–80%
  •   Palazzo—60–70%
  •   Palazzo—50–60%
Republican primary results [3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steven Palazzo (incumbent) 54,318 66.8
Republican Robert Deming 11,463 14.1
Republican Samuel Hickman 7,981 9.8
Republican Carl Boyanton 7,533 9.3
Total votes 81,295 100.0%

General election edit

Predictions edit

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[6] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[8] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[9] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[10] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[11] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results edit

Mississippi's 4th congressional district, 2020[12]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steven Palazzo (incumbent) 255,971 100.0
Total votes 255,971 100.0
Republican hold

References edit

  1. ^ a b c d Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 2, 2019.
  2. ^ a b Vance, Taylor (January 13, 2020). "Antonia Eliason, Trent Kelly launch campaigns for U.S. congressional election". Daily Journal. Retrieved February 2, 2020.
  3. ^ a b c d "2020 State Republican Party Certified Primary Election Results". MS GOP. June 3, 2020. Archived from the original on August 14, 2020. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
  4. ^ a b c "2020 State Democratic Party Certified Primary Election Results". MS DEMS. June 3, 2020. Archived from the original on April 18, 2020. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
  5. ^ a b c d "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  6. ^ a b c d "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  7. ^ a b c d "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on August 22, 2019. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  8. ^ a b c d "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  9. ^ a b c d "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
  10. ^ a b c d "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  11. ^ a b c d "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020. Archived from the original on June 21, 2020. Retrieved April 29, 2020.
  12. ^ a b c d "State of Mississippi OFFICIAL 2020 GENERAL ELECTION CERTIFIED RESULTS" (PDF). State of Mississippi Secretary of State. Retrieved December 28, 2020.
  13. ^ a b c d e f g h Ramseth, Luke (January 22, 2020). "Mississippi election 2020: Who's running for U.S. Senate, House seats?". The Clarion Ledger. Retrieved February 2, 2020.
  14. ^ "James Tulp to run for Mississippi's third congressional district". WJTV. January 10, 2020. Retrieved February 2, 2020.
  15. ^ a b Corder, Frank (January 7, 2020). "MS-4 Rep. Steven Palazzo draws 2 GOP primary challengers including former intern". Y'all Politics. Retrieved February 2, 2020.
  16. ^ Chighizola, Grant (January 9, 2020). "ROBERT DEMING ANNOUNCES CANDIDACY FOR CONGRESS". WXXV 25. Retrieved February 2, 2020.

External links edit

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
  • Antonia Eliason (D) for Congress
  • Trent Kelly (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
  • Brian Flowers (R) for Congress
  • Bennie Thompson (D) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
  • Dorothy "Dot" Benford (D) for Congress Archived September 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  • Michael Guest (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
  • Steven Palazzo (R) for Congress Archived June 24, 2021, at the Wayback Machine