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2018 Idaho gubernatorial election

2018 Idaho gubernatorial election

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Idaho gubernatorial election, 2018

← 2014 November 6, 2018 2022 →
 
Nominee Brad Little Paulette Jordan
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 361,661 231,081
Percentage 59.8% 38.2%

County Results
Little:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Jordan:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

Governor before election

Butch Otter
Republican

Elected Governor

Brad Little
Republican

The 2018 Idaho gubernatorial election took place on November 6 to elect the next Governor of Idaho. Incumbent Republican Governor Butch Otter chose not to run for a fourth term,[1] and the state's primaries were held on May 15.[2]

Former state representative Paulette Jordan was the Democratic Party's nominee. She lost to incumbent lieutenant governor Brad Little by a wide margin for a seventh consecutive Republican victory.

A record 605,131 votes were cast for governor in 2018, a 37.6% increase over the previous election in 2014 (439,830 votes). The previous high was 452,535 votes in 2010.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared[edit]

Withdrew[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements

Tommy Ahlquist
U.S. Governors (current and former)
Republican National Committee members
Mayors
Individuals
Celebrities
Raúl Labrador
U.S. Senators
State legislators (current and former)
Individuals
Political Action Committees
  • Protect Freedom PAC [19]
Trade Associations
  • Inland Pacific Chapter of Associated Builders and Contractors (IPC-ABC) [25]
Organizations
  • Idaho Chooses Life[26]
  • Family Policy Alliance of Idaho[27]
Brad Little
U.S. Governors (current and former)
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide elected officials (current and former)
State legislators (current and former)
Newspapers
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tommy
Ahlquist
Raul
Labrador
Brad
Little
Lisa
Marie
Lawrence
Wasden*
Other Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates February 26 – March 15, 2018 21% 25% 17% 6% 31%
Dan Jones & Associates November 8–15, 2017 619 ± 3.9% 14% 17% 21% 4% 4% 5% 36%
Magellan Strategies (R-Labrador) October 11–12, 2017 714 ± 3.7% 21% 37% 23% 19%

*–Denotes candidates who did not enter the race.

Results

Results by county:
Republican primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brad Little 72,518 37.3
Republican Raúl Labrador 63,460 32.6
Republican Tommy Ahlquist 50,977 26.2
Republican Lisa Marie 3,390 1.7
Republican Steve Pankey 2,701 1.4
Republican Harley Brown 874 0.4
Republican Dalton Cannady 528 0.3
Total votes 194,448 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements

A. J. Balukoff
U.S. Representatives (current and former)
Statewide officials (current and former)
State legislators (current and former)
Democratic National Committee officials (current and former)
Local and municiapal officials (current and former)
Newspapers
Organizations
Paulette Jordan
State legislators (current and former)
Individuals
Organizations

Results

Results by county:
Democratic primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Paulette Jordan 38,483 58.4
Democratic A.J. Balukoff 26,403 40.1
Democratic Peter Dill 964 1.5
Total votes 65,850 100.0

Independents

Candidates

Declared[edit]

  • Adam Phillips[8]
  • Michael Richardson[4]
  • John Thomas Wiechec[8]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[78] Solid R October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[79] Safe R November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[80] Solid R November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[81] Solid R November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[82] Safe R November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[83] Safe R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[84] Safe R November 5, 2018
Fox News[85][a] Likely R November 5, 2018
Politico[86] Likely R November 5, 2018
Governing[87] Safe R November 5, 2018
Notes
  1. ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Brad
Little (R)
Paulette
Jordan (D)
Bev
Boeck (L)
Other Undecided
Change Research November 2–4, 2018 838 55% 39% 3% 2%[88]
Clarity Campaign Labs (D-Idaho Voices for Change Now) August 2–5, 2018 826 ± 3.2% 36% 28% 5% 31%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D-Idaho Voices for Change Now) July 12–15, 2018 1,061 ± 2.8% 38% 28% 7% 26%
Dan Jones & Associates June 22 – July 9, 2018 606 ± 4.0% 43% 31% 5% 8%[89] 13%

Results

Idaho gubernatorial election, 2018
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican Brad Little 361,661 59.76% +6.24%
Democratic Paulette Jordan 231,081 38.19% -0.36%
Libertarian Bev "Angel" Boeck 6,551 1.08% -2.99%
Constitution Walter L. Bayes 5,787 0.96% -0.23%
Independent Lisa Marie (write-in) 51 0.0% N/A
Total votes 605,131 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

See also

References

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  2. ^ Legislatures, National Conference of State. "2018 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  3. ^ Dentzer, Kevin (February 28, 2017). "Ahlquist makes it official: In campaign for governor, he starts 97-town tour this week". Idaho Statesman. Retrieved March 1, 2017.
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Russell, Betsy Z. (March 10, 2018). "Candidates flock to file for Idaho's May primary election". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved March 31, 2018.
  5. ^ Russell, Betsy Z. (May 9, 2017). "Idaho Rep. Raul Labrador files to run for governor in 2018". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved January 11, 2018.
  6. ^ Richert, Kevin (October 26, 2017). "Christy Perry considers run for Congress". Idaho Education News. Retrieved October 30, 2017.
  7. ^ Dentzer, Bill (June 28, 2016). "Brad Little, Idaho's governor-in-waiting, commits to 2018 run". Idaho Statesman. Retrieved July 7, 2016.
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  12. ^ Russell, Betsy Z. "Wasden to seek another term as Attorney General, not join crowds running for governor, Congress". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved 2017-09-08.
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  19. ^ a b https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/idaho/articles/2017-11-01/labrador-attracts-endorsements-in-idahos-gubernatorial-race
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  78. ^ "2018 Governor Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
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  84. ^ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.
  85. ^ "2018 Midterm Power Ranking". Fox News.
  86. ^ "Politico Race Ratings". Politico.
  87. ^ "2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups". www.governing.com. Retrieved 2018-07-18.
  88. ^ Walter Bayes with 2%
  89. ^ Walter Bayes (C) with 3%, someone else with 5%

External links

Debates
Official campaign websites


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