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2012 Vermont gubernatorial election

Summary

The 2012 Vermont gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012, to elect the Governor of Vermont. Incumbent Democratic Governor Peter Shumlin won re-election to a second term, making this the only one of his gubernatorial elections in which he won a majority of the vote. In his 2010 and 2014 races, the Vermont General Assembly was required to choose a winner in accordance with the state constitution, because no candidate won a majority.

2012 Vermont gubernatorial election
← 2010 November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06) 2014 →
 
Nominee Peter Shumlin Randy Brock
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 170,749 110,940
Percentage 57.8% 37.6%
Shumlin:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%
Brock:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%
Tie:      40–50%      No votes
Governor before election

Peter Shumlin
Democratic

Elected Governor

Peter Shumlin
Democratic

Democratic nomination edit

Candidates edit

Republican nomination edit

Candidates edit

Declined edit

Progressive nomination edit

Candidates edit

  • Martha Abbott, chairwoman of the Vermont Progressive Party[7] (resigned nomination in order to aid Shumlin by avoiding split in progressive/liberal votes)

General election edit

Candidates edit

  • Randy Brock (R), state senator and former state auditor
  • Dave Eagle (Liberty Union)
  • Cris Ericson (U.S. Marijuana), perennial candidate who also ran for the U.S. Senate[8]
  • Emily Peyton (Independent)[9]
  • Peter Shumlin (D), incumbent

Debates edit

  • Complete video of debate, October 13, 2012 - C-SPAN

Predictions edit

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe D November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[12] Safe D November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[13] Safe D November 5, 2012

Polling edit

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Peter
Shumlin (D) 		Randy
Brock (R) 		Undecided
Castleton Polling August 11–21, 2012 477 ± 4.5% 60% 26% 13%
Vermont Business Magazine May 7–16, 2012 607 ± 4.0% 60% 27% 11%
Public Policy Polling July 28–31, 2011 1,233 ± 2.8% 51% 29% 20%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Peter
Shumlin (D) 		Brian
Dubie (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 28–31, 2011 1,233 ± 2.8% 48% 40% 12%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Peter
Shumlin (D) 		Thom
Lauzon (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 28–31, 2011 1,233 ± 2.8% 52% 25% 23%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Peter
Shumlin (D) 		Tom
Salmon (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 28–31, 2011 1,233 ± 2.8% 50% 31% 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Peter
Shumlin (D) 		Phil
Scott (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 28–31, 2011 1,233 ± 2.8% 50% 33% 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Peter
Shumlin (D) 		Mark
Snelling (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 28–31, 2011 1,233 ± 2.8% 50% 29% 21%

Results edit

2012 Vermont gubernatorial election[14]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Peter Shumlin (incumbent) 170,749 57.80% +8.36%
Republican Randy Brock 110,940 37.55% -10.14%
Independent Emily Peyton 5,868 1.99% +1.71%
Marijuana Cris Ericson 5,583 1.89% +1.14%
Liberty Union Dave Eagle 1,303 0.44% +0.26%
Write-in 969 0.33% +0.06%
Total votes 295,412 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic edit

See also edit

References edit

  1. ^ "Shumlin Announces His Re-election Bid". Vermont Public Radio. June 12, 2012. Retrieved June 12, 2012.
  2. ^ a b c d Galloway, Anne (December 7, 2011). "Vermont GOP backs Brock for 2012 gubernatorial bid". VTDigger.org. Retrieved December 11, 2011.
  3. ^ a b Steimle, Susie (December 7, 2011). "Brock to run for governor". WCAX. Archived from the original on April 6, 2012. Retrieved December 11, 2011.
  4. ^ Marcy, Darren; Kumka, Cristina (December 21, 2011). "Lauzon wants 2 more years in Barre". Vermont Today. Retrieved February 15, 2012.
  5. ^ Hallenbeck, Terri (April 25, 2012). "Rutland publisher seeks GOP bid for governor". The Burlington Free Press. Retrieved April 27, 2012.
  6. ^ Remsen, Nancy (September 23, 2011). "Salmon says he wants to remain as Vermont Auditor". The Burlington Free Press. Retrieved September 24, 2011.[permanent dead link]
  7. ^ Heintz, Paul (May 21, 2012). "Prog Candidate to Challenge Gov. Shumlin — At Least For Now". Seven Days. Retrieved May 23, 2012.
  8. ^ McCarty, Alicia (November 13, 2011). "A look ahead to the key races in the Northeast in 2012". USA Today. Retrieved February 15, 2012.
  9. ^ Dobbs, Taylor (June 13, 2012). "Sanders' papers filed, Peyton running for governor". VTDigger.org. Retrieved June 23, 2012.
  10. ^ "2012 Governor Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  11. ^ "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on December 1, 2018. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  12. ^ "2012 Gubernatorial Ratings". Gubernatorial Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  13. ^ "2012 Elections Map - 2012 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  14. ^ "American Airlines - Login".

External links edit

  • Elections and Campaign Finance Division at the Vermont Secretary of State
Campaign sites (Archived)
  • Randy Brock (R) for Governor
  • Peter Shumlin (D) for Governor

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