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2012 United States Senate election in Hawaii 
Summary
The 2012 United States Senate election in Hawaii took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic senator Daniel Akaka decided to retire instead of seeking a fourth full term. Democrat Mazie Hirono defeated Republican Linda Lingle in a rematch of Hawaii’s 2002 gubernatorial election. This was the first open Senate seat in the state of Hawaii since 1976.
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| Turnout | 44.2% (voting eligible)[1] | ||||||||||||||||
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 County results Hirono: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Background edit
U.S. Representative Daniel Akaka was appointed by Governor John Waihee to the U.S. Senate to serve temporarily after the death of U.S. Senator Spark Matsunaga, and sworn into office on May 16, 1990. On November 6 of the same year, he was elected to complete the remaining four years of Matsunaga's unexpired term. He was re-elected in 1994 for a first full six-year term and again in 2000 and 2006. Despite originally saying he would seek re-election in 2012,[2] on March 2, 2011, Akaka announced that he would not run for re-election.[3]
Democratic primary edit
The primary election was held on August 11.[4] After being locked in a tight race with Ed Case, her predecessor in Congress, incumbent Congresswoman Mazie Hirono pulled away in the final vote, handily defeating Case.
Candidates edit
- Ed Case, former U.S. Representative[5]
- Michael Gillespie
- Antonio Gimbernat
- Mazie Hirono, U.S. Representative and 2002 nominee for governor[6]
- Arturo Reyes
Withdrew edit
- Daniel Akaka, incumbent U.S. Senator[3]
Declined edit
- Tammy Duckworth, Assistant Secretary of Public/Intergovernmental Affairs (ran for Congress in Illinois)[7]
- Colleen Hanabusa, U.S. Representative[8][9][10]
- Mufi Hannemann, former Mayor of Honolulu (ran for Congress)[11]
Campaign edit
In December 2011, Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee Chairwoman and U.S. Senator Patty Murray for Washington endorsed Hirono.[12] U.S. Senator and President Pro Tempore Daniel Inouye for Hawaii also endorsed her. Case criticized "D.C. insiders." He also argued that he is a fiscal moderate, while Hirono was rated the 6th most liberal member of the U.S. House.[13][14] The Daily Kos blog described Ed Case a "Democratic villain."[15]
Polling edit
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ed Case |
Mazie Hirono |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | 368 | ±5.1% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
| Civil Beat Poll | January 18–19, 2012 | 1,358 | ±2.7% | 41% | 39% | 20% |
| Honolulu Star-Advertiser | January 26 – February 5, 2012 | 599 | ±4.0% | 36% | 56% | 8% |
| Civil Beat Poll | June 5–7, 2012 | 731 | ±3.6% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Honolulu Star-Advertiser | July 5–9, 2012 | 599 | ±4.0% | 40% | 43% | 9% |
| Honolulu Star-Advertiser | July 12–21, 2012 | 606 | ±4.0% | 37% | 55% | 8% |
| Civil Beat/Merriman River | July 31 – August 2, 2012 | 1,227 | ±2.8% | 47% | 46% | 9% |
Results edit
Hirono—60–70%
Hirono—50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mazie Hirono | 134,745 | 57% | |
| Democratic | Ed Case | 95,553 | 40% | |
| Blank Votes | 3,331 | 1% | ||
| Democratic | Arturo Reyes | 1,720 | 1% | |
| Democratic | Michael Gillespie | 1,104 | 1% | |
| Democratic | Antonio Gimbernat | 517 | 0.2% | |
| Over Votes | 110 | 0% | ||
| Total votes | 237,080 | 100% | ||
Republican primary edit
The primary election was held on August 11.
Candidates edit
- John Carroll, former state senator, former state representative and perennial candidate[17]
- Charles Collins[18]
- Linda Lingle, former governor[19]
- Eddie Pirkowski, businessman and perennial candidate[20]
- John Roco
Declined edit
- Duke Aiona, former lieutenant governor[21]
- Charles Djou, former U.S. representative (running for U.S. House)[22][23]
Polling edit
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Carroll |
Linda Lingle |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | 293 | ±5.7% | 9% | 85% | 6% |
Results edit
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Linda Lingle | 44,252 | 90% | |
| Republican | John Carroll | 2,900 | 6% | |
| Blank Votes | 749 | 2% | ||
| Republican | John Roco | 545 | 1% | |
| Republican | Charles Collins | 366 | 1% | |
| Republican | Eddie Pirkowski | 232 | 0.5% | |
| Over Votes | 25 | 0.1% | ||
| Total votes | 49,069 | 100% | ||
General election edit
Candidates edit
- Mazie Hirono (Democratic), U.S. Representative
- Linda Lingle (Republican), former governor
- Heath Beasley (independent)[24]
Debates edit
- September 6, 2012 – Honolulu Japanese Chamber of Commerce and various other hosts[25][26]
- October 8, 2012 – AARP Hawaii
- October 16, 2012 – Honolulu Civil Beat, Complete video of debate at C-SPAN
- October 18, 2012 – PBS Hawaii
- October 22, 2012 – Hawaii Star Advertiser[27][28]
Fundraising edit
| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazie Hirono (D) | $5,518,572 | $5,657,753 | $77,323 | $241,951 |
| Linda Lingle (R) | $5,865,323 | $5,839,282 | $26,042 | $194,534 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[29][30] | ||||
Top contributors edit
| Mazie Hirono | Contribution | Linda Lingle | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMILY's List | $215,640 | Goldman Sachs | $39,900 | |
| University of Hawaii | $29,900 | Elliott Management Corporation | $39,500 | |
| Kobayashi, Sugita & Goda | $24,618 | Humanscale Corporation | $34,000 | |
| Alexander & Baldwin | $23,100 | Bank of America | $21,240 | |
| RM Towill Corp | $23,000 | Richie's Specialty Pharmacy | $20,000 | |
| Weitz & Luxenberg | $22,400 | Marriott International | $19,500 | |
| Council for a Livable World | $20,914 | Murray Energy | $19,205 | |
| Nan, Inc. | $20,000 | State of Hawaii | $18,350 | |
| Thornton & Naumes | $20,000 | Devon Energy | $15,500 | |
| BNP Paribas | $17,250 | Crown Associates Realty | $15,000 | |
| Source: OpenSecrets[31] | ||||
Top industries edit
| Mazie Hirono | Contribution | Linda Lingle | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawyers/Law Firms | $524,619 | Retired | $640,433 | |
| Women's Issues | $336,772 | Financial Institutions | $368,837 | |
| Retired | $194,307 | Leadership PACs | $291,500 | |
| Leadership PACs | $186,500 | Real Estate | $249,216 | |
| Real Estate | $123,598 | Pro-Israel | $185,500 | |
| Transportation Unions | $110,400 | Health Professionals | $154,550 | |
| Lobbyists | $109,344 | Petroleum Industry | $137,950 | |
| Public Sector Unions | $108,000 | Misc Finance | $137,500 | |
| Democratic/Liberal | $85,788 | Lawyers/Law Firms | $135,086 | |
| Shipping Industry | $85,385 | Republican/Conservative | $101,664 | |
| Source: OpenSecrets[32] | ||||
Predictions edit
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[33] | Lean D | November 1, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] | Likely D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[35] | Likely D | November 2, 2012 |
| Real Clear Politics[36] | Likely D | November 5, 2012 |
Polling edit
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mazie Hirono (D) |
Linda Lingle (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 898 | ±3.3% | 52% | 40% | 9% |
| Honolulu Star-Advertiser | May 4–10, 2011 | 614 | ±4.0% | 57% | 35% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | 568 | ±4.1% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
| Civil Beat/Merriman River | January 18–19, 2012 | 1,358 | ±2.7% | 46% | 39% | 16% |
| Honolulu Star-Advertiser | January 26 – February 5, 2012 | 771 | ±3.5% | 57% | 37% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 16–17, 2012 | 600 | ±4.0% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
| Civil Beat/Merriman River | June 5–7, 2012 | 1,105 | ±2.9% | 49% | 44% | 5% |
| Honolulu Star-Advertiser | July 12–21, 2012 | 756 | ±3.6% | 58% | 39% | 4% |
| Civil Beat/Merriman River | September 26–28, 2012 | 1,684 | ±2.4% | 55% | 39% | 6% |
| Honolulu Star-Advertiser | October 15–22, 2012 | 786 | ±3.5% | 57% | 35% | 8% |
| Civil Beat/Merriman River | October 24–26, 2012 | 1,218 | ±2.8% | 55% | 40% | 5% |
Hypothetical polling
- Democratic primary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ed Case |
Colleen Hanabusa |
Mufi Hannemann |
Mazie Hirono |
Brian Schatz |
Don't Know/ Refused |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honolulu Star-Advertiser | May 4–10, 2011 | 403 | ±4.9% | 26% | 15% | 17% | 25% | 6% | 11% |
- with Duke Aiona
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ed Case (D) |
Duke Aiona (R) |
Undecided/Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 898 | ±3.3% | 50% | 35% | 15% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mazie Hirono (D) |
Duke Aiona (R) |
Undecided/Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 898 | ±3.3% | 49% | 42% | 10% |
- with Colleen Hanabusa
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Colleen Hanabusa (D) |
Duke Aiona (R) |
Undecided/Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 898 | ±3.3% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Colleen Hanabusa (D) |
Charles Djou (R) |
Undecided/Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 898 | ±3.3% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Colleen Hanabusa (D) |
Linda Lingle (R) |
Undecided/Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 898 | ±3.3% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
| Honolulu Star-Advertiser | May 4–10, 2011 | 614 | ±4.0% | 54% | 39% | 7% |
- with Charles Djou
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ed Case (D) |
Charles Djou (R) |
Undecided/Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 898 | ±3.3% | 53% | 35% | 12% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mazie Hirono (D) |
Charles Djou (R) |
Undecided/Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 898 | ±3.3% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
- With Mufi Hannemann
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mufi Hannemann (D) |
Charles Djou (R) |
Undecided/Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 898 | ±3.3% | 46% | 40% | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mufi Hannemann (D) |
Duke Aiona (R) |
Undecided/Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 898 | ±3.3% | 42% | 42% | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mufi Hannemann (D) |
Linda Lingle (R) |
Undecided/Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 898 | ±3.3% | 47% | 40% | 14% |
| Honolulu Star-Advertiser | May 4–10, 2011 | 614 | ±4.0% | 51% | 36% | 13% |
- with Brian Schatz
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brian Schatz (D) |
Linda Lingle (R) |
Undecided/Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honolulu Star-Advertiser | May 4–10, 2011 | 614 | ±4.0% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ed Case (D) |
John Carroll (R) |
Undecided/Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | 568 | ±4.1% | 60% | 21% | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ed Case (D) |
Linda Lingle (R) |
Undecided/Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 898 | ±3.3% | 52% | 35% | 12% |
| Honolulu Star-Advertiser | May 4–10, 2011 | 614 | ±4.0% | 54% | 36% | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | 568 | ±4.1% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Civil Beat/Merriman River | January 18–19, 2012 | 1,358 | ±2.7% | 46% | 33% | 20% |
| Honolulu Star-Advertiser | January 26 – February 5, 2012 | 771 | ±3.5% | 56% | 36% | 8% |
| Civil Beat/Merriman River | June 5–7, 2012 | 1,105 | ±2.9% | 52% | 36% | 12% |
| Honolulu Star-Advertiser | July 12–21, 2012 | 756 | ±3.6% | 56% | 38% | 6% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mazie Hirono (D) |
John Carroll (R) |
Undecided/Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | 568 | ±4.1% | 56% | 29% | 15% |
Endorsements edit
Mazie Hirono (D)
- U.S. Representatives
- Don Young, U.S. Representative from Alaska's at-large congressional district (Republican; endorsed only in the primary)[37]
Results edit
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mazie Hirono | 269,489 | 62.60% | +1.25% | |
| Republican | Linda Lingle | 160,994 | 37.40% | +0.62% | |
| Total votes | 430,483 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Results by congressional district edit
Hirono won both congressional districts.[39]
| District | Hirono | Lingle | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 59.94% | 40.06% | Colleen Hanabusa |
| 2nd | 65.24% | 34.76% | Tulsi Gabbard |
See also edit
References edit
- ^ Dr. Michael McDonald (February 9, 2013). "2012 General Election Turnout Rates". George Mason University. Archived from the original on April 24, 2013. Retrieved April 3, 2013.
- ^ Mizutani, Ron (April 26, 2010). "Sen. Akaka: "God willing, I Plan to Run Again in 2012"". KHON2. Archived from the original on July 13, 2011. Retrieved March 3, 2011.
- ^ a b DePledge, Derrick (March 2, 2011). "AKAKA WILL NOT SEEK RE-ELECTION IN 2012". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Archived from the original on March 4, 2011. Retrieved March 3, 2011.
- ^ "Maui Weekly". Archived from the original on June 29, 2012. Retrieved June 24, 2012.
- ^ Starkey, Melanie (April 10, 2011). "Ed Case to Mount Hawaii Senate Campaign". Roll Call. Retrieved June 1, 2011.
- ^ Trygstad, Kyle (May 19, 2011). "Mazie Hirono to Run for Open Senate Seat in Hawaii". Roll Call. Retrieved June 1, 2011.
- ^ Daranciang, Nelson (May 31, 2011). "Duckworth not considering run for Hawaii posts". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Archived from the original on November 4, 2011. Retrieved June 1, 2011.
- ^ Catanese, David (March 3, 2011). "Hanabusa passes on Senate Bid". Politico. Retrieved August 24, 2011.
- ^ Blair, Chad (August 24, 2011). "No Senate Run for Hanabusa". Honolulu Civil Beat. Peer News LLC. Retrieved August 26, 2011.
- ^ Trygstad, Kyle (August 24, 2011). "Hanabusa Will Seek Re-Election, Not Bid for Senate". Roll Call. Retrieved August 26, 2011.
- ^ Joseph, Cameron (August 30, 2011). "Former Honolulu Mayor Hannemann to run for House". Ballot Box. Retrieved August 30, 2011.
- ^ Poll: Hirono in solid shape in Senate primary - The Hill's Ballot Box
- ^ Former Congressman Ed Case: If Hirono Wins U.S. Senate Democratic Primary, Former GOP Gov. Lingle Will Beat Her | Hawaii Reporter
- ^ Unrelenting Ed Case Says Mazie Hirono Is D.C. Insider : Roll Call Politics
- ^ "Honolulu Civil Beat – Capitol Watch – Hawaii Politics and Government – Daily Kos Hates Ed Case". Archived from the original on April 26, 2012. Retrieved December 23, 2011.
- ^ a b "PRIMARY ELECTION 2012 – State of Hawaii – Statewide" (PDF). State Of Hawaii Office of Elections. Retrieved September 29, 2012.
- ^ "Ex-HI GOP legislator John Carroll to run for U.S. Senate". The Hawaii Independent. September 21, 2011. Retrieved September 27, 2011.
- ^ Bracken, Sherry (May 29, 2012). "Senate Candidate Lingle Continues to Campaign on Big Island". Archived from the original on January 21, 2013. Retrieved July 25, 2012.
In the August 11 Republican primary, she will face Charles Collins of Pahoa.
- ^ DePledge, Derrick (October 11, 2011). "Lingle joins U.S. Senate race". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved October 11, 2011.
- ^ "Office of Elections" (PDF).
- ^ "Aiona says he will not run for Congress in 2012". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. August 16, 2011. Archived from the original on September 25, 2011. Retrieved September 7, 2011.
- ^ "Djou announces run for Congress, will deploy to Afghanistan". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. August 17, 2011. Retrieved August 26, 2011.
- ^ Trygstad, Kyle (August 17, 2011). "Ex-Rep. Djou Announces Bid for House". Roll Call. Retrieved August 26, 2011.
- ^ "Hawaii – County Vote Results". Associated Press. August 12, 2012. Retrieved October 13, 2012.
- ^ "Hirono, Lingle square off in first Senate debate". New Vision Television – KHON2. September 6, 2012. Retrieved October 8, 2012.
- ^ Sakahara, Tim (September 6, 2012). "Lingle and Hirono battle in feisty debate". Retrieved October 8, 2012.
- ^ "Lingle, Hirono finalize debate schedule". The Maui News. August 23, 2012. Retrieved October 8, 2012.
- ^ "Lingle, Hirono finalize US Senate debate schedule". Real Clear Politics. Associated Press. August 22, 2012. Retrieved October 8, 2012.
- ^ Federal Election Commission. "2012 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Hawaii HIRONO, MAZIE K". fec.gov.
- ^ Federal Election Commission. "2012 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Hawaii LINGLE, LINDA". fec.gov.
- ^ "Top Contributors 2012 Race: Hawaii Senate". OpenSecrets.
- ^ "Top Industries 2012 Race: Hawaii Senate". OpenSecrets.
- ^ "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "2012 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "2012 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "2012 Elections Map – Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "Don Young's unusual endorsement of Hawaii Democrat Mazie Hirono". Anchorage Daily News. July 25, 2012. Retrieved April 17, 2022.
- ^ "2012 General Election Summary Report" (PDF). State of Hawaii. November 20, 2012. Retrieved March 12, 2022.
- ^ "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.
External links edit
- Hawaii Office of the Elections
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
- Outside spending at the Sunlight Foundation
- Candidate issue positions at On the Issues
- Campaign sites (Archived)
- John Carroll for U.S. Senate
- Ed Case for U.S. Senate
- Mazie Hirono for U.S. Senate
- Linda Lingle for U.S. Senate
- Eddie Pirkowski for U.S. Senate